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La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,908,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,662,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,908,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,057 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes79c649,657$515,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,574.7419943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c7…9ccfbacked Yes80c502,250$401,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,450475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbf…107abacked No20c324,868$64,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,973.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No21c249,535$51,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,381.9517051.2%87 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No20c240,815$49,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,304.0411339.8%45 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No20c201,228$40,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,245.6511055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c190,498$38,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,840.421,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ba…da22backed No20c133,800$26,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,76020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No21c114,000$23,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,939.989328%26 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Yes80c100,000$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0001080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No20c100,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.951225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes80c89,990$71,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,228.1413641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes78c81,491$63,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,524.588852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No21c77,709$16,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,687.297722.1%17 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No20c76,059$15,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,211.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516c…3d58backed No24c66,249$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,899.730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No21c50,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9610536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes80c48,836$39,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,788.125532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No21c41,792$8,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,866.36743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Yes80c37,500$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes77c37,141$28,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,463.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No21c35,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2507338.4%28 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No22c32,698$7,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,126.292138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No21c31,838$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,704.266331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No20c30,419$6,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,101.326421.9%14 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No23c27,300$6,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,347.978551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No20c27,081$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c80…08ffbacked No21c26,884$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No18c26,001$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Yes80c25,700$20,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1403100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No20c25,151$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.39529.5%28 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9166…5bd5backed No20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba2…24febacked Yes80c22,520$18,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No20c20,689$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.32,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes73c20,499$15,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.728948.3%43 W · 46 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No24c20,095$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.491,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed No20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes79c19,513$15,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.7254338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No20c19,479$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.85540%22 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes80c18,259$14,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.4735934.8%125 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No23c16,460$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.838450%42 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No21c15,720$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.172025%5 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes80c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00018050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda12…9870backed Yes80c14,810$11,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No24c13,992$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Yes76c13,163$9,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No19c13,117$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.292737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…17c2backed Yes80c12,599$10,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes80c12,500$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No21c12,412$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.5114445.8%66 W · 78 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes79c11,392$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.412055%11 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick73cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes77c10,831$8,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.912458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…eed9backed Yes79c10,494$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No20c9,761$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8121944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No22c9,445$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.914223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdea4…9b58backed Yes80c8,991$7,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed No20c8,957$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c45…8652backed No21c8,750$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.4950%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes79c8,412$6,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.65149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes78c8,378$6,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.3215959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No22c8,320$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.45332.1%17 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No17c7,825$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.3790543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes77c7,744$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No21c7,425$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.246656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No22c7,392$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6231942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…8f1abacked Yes80c7,318$5,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No14c7,001$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.381,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes80c6,901$5,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.1931631.6%100 W · 216 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No7c6,596$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No22c6,410$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.651540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed No17c6,218$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.368541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No21c6,151$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.1918146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No23c6,139$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4123435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes79c6,000$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes79c5,742$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.827163.4%45 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No20c5,730$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.052123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce0…97afbacked Yes80c5,625$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1253100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+74.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes79c5,438$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.2914253.5%76 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes79c5,063$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Yes80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…2351backed Yes80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No19c4,920$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No18c4,902$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.4222343%96 W · 127 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c4,757$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.963,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No22c4,721$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.6511853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes80c4,400$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Yes80c4,375$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No15c4,169$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.092661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+53.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd260…9fd5backed No20c4,135$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No20c4,125$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.961844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf68…1934backed Yes80c4,118$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes78c3,949$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked Yes78c3,900$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5752…62a3backed Yes80c3,889$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.313100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes80c3,872$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.423751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No22c3,473$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No21c3,473$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.631,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.