La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7f8b63b9c04a884e69a27411f581dfd70223d300bf9286678266720ff6fc9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 49,338$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580.19 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 12c | 40,444$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.57 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 14c | 20,115$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.15 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 9c | 18,566$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 16c | 12,125$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.35 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 9,199$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.68 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 12c | 9,151$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.35 | 905 | 43.4%393 W · 512 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 13c | 5,769$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 531 | 49.5%263 W · 268 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 5,717$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.48 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…b8ecbacked Yes | 8c | 4,830$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,645$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.84 | 2,381 | 48.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 802 | 50.2%403 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 742 | 49.9%370 W · 372 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 13c | 2,893$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 735 | 49.7%365 W · 370 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 2,783$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 2,755$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 485 | 48.9%237 W · 248 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 2,749$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 359 | 34.8%125 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…2469backed Yes | 3c | 1,358$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 1,329$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 13c | 1,173$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…4cd5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 1,101$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 1,458 | 45.1%658 W · 800 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 203 | 22.2%45 W · 158 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 14c | 919.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 13c | 794.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 9c | 693.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 13c | 659$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 44.6%121 W · 150 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 14c | 542.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 13c | 513.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 13c | 507.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 10c | 500.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc134…feddbacked Yes | 13c | 437.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yes | 13c | 333.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 9c | 299.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Yes | 14c | 280$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 15c | 257.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…565abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 13c | 231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7725backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 13c | 157.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…412ebacked Yes | 10c | 155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 18c | 143.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 16c | 123.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 13c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 858 | 50.3%432 W · 426 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 11c | 104.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 14c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 13c | 90.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 477 | 49.7%237 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 13c | 85.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 15c | 84.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…0606backed Yes | 13c | 77.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | -16.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.