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La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$845,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$709,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes6c130,136$8,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,438.3310536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c116,042$7,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,515.811,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes6c109,360$6,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,990.1821944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes7c49,494$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.5511055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes7c43,911$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.7115641%64 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes6c35,023$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes7c25,541$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.981,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes2c21,953$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes7c20,096$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.698450%42 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes7c17,391$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.882,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes7c14,284$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8853149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c12,830$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.861,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a0…b6cbbacked Yes7c12,236$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes2c11,556$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Yes7c9,631$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.176743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes7c6,645$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1511339.8%45 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes7c6,173$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.941,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes6c5,455$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.176434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes4c5,446$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.388541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes7c5,414$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9474249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes7c4,829$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3418146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Yes6c3,284$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.022751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes7c3,045$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.22839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes6c2,780$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1385850.3%432 W · 426 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes7c2,576$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.326331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes7c2,519$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5164839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes1c2,476$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.283,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e42…f5bbbacked Yes7c2,418$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.231241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes0c2,300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes1c2,259$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.425532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e42…8807backed Yes10c2,195$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes6c2,018$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3848548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes7c1,963$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.383630.6%11 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes7c1,821$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4473549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes7c1,512$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.262744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb3…c372backed Yes7c1,304$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0380%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes7c1,300$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.480250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes7c1,287$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511337.2%42 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes3c1,213$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.43751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x887c…565abacked Yes2c1,182$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes8c1,106$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.476041.7%25 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes5c1,034$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6735934.8%125 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Yes7c1,029$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051851.9%269 W · 249 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020322.2%45 W · 158 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes6c971.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5924526.9%66 W · 179 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes7c899.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7347749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes7c843$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.011540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Yes6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes4c519.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes7c480$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.611856.8%67 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Yes9c463.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.522334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a7…c343backed Yes8c459$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5650%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes11c455$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes3c454.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810853.7%58 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286126.2%16 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a2…cf21backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516c…3d58backed Yes7c367.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…46c6backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac79…8508backed Yes8c356.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207b…8118backed Yes7c336.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebec…3785backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes7c239.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8465352.7%344 W · 309 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c233.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0254338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1531…4f9dbacked Yes7c216.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes7c203.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514527.6%40 W · 105 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b0…52d2backed Yes7c192.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154264.3%27 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes8c175.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072450%12 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes8c175.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.072142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc55…3bc9backed Yes7c166.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b1…96e7backed Yes8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes8c127.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick26cpaid-89.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2128…f3c7backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+120.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…da0bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab99…f177backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.