Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcae2047c7b6c6dc2f6985dc4ef535327ca62a62bbb6c182b2e8b0a12954b6dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 62c | 1,951$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.32 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,775$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 28c | 1,714$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c6e2backed Yes | 27c | 1,514$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 860.27$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 841.68$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 23c | 766.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 28c | 588.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 29c | 578.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 492.2$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 422.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 415.68$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 315.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 314.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 314.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 40c | 289.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 40c | 278.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 276.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 262.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 256.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 256.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 247.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 72c | 238.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 231.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 206.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 199.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 185.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 172.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 140.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 26c | 120.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 110.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 103.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 74c | 100.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 26c | 93.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 86.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 21c | 81.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 37c | 76.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 73c | 67.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes | 18c | 59.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 28c | 55.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…9070backed Yes | 36c | 52.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 49.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 71c | 49.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 48.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 75c | 39.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 39.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 68c | 32.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 31.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 75c | 27.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 68c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 64c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 75c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.