Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b5d800811db01c5e77a3794aa0e334645e5581a7eb2139cff289f26144e121d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,610$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.83 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 26c | 1,534$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.54 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 20c | 975$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 23c | 845.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.65 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 80c | 828.8$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 692.59$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.07 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 578.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 7c | 563.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 523$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.74 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 481.37$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.55 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 19c | 351.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 348.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 19c | 347.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 286.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 269.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 249.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 23c | 248.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 242.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 14c | 223.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 212.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 33c | 211.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 19c | 205.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 6c | 188.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 23c | 182.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 58c | 179.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 39c | 157.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 144.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 18c | 129.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 120.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 61c | 119.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 114.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 17c | 111.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 63c | 109.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 77c | 107.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 19c | 102.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 38c | 92.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 29c | 83.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 82.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 60c | 80.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…9ad2backed No | 31c | 79.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 75.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 24c | 69.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 65c | 63.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 62.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 66c | 59.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 57c | 56.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 19c | 55.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…d781backed No | 78c | 50.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 23c | 50.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 48c | 49.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked No | 80c | 40.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…d70dbacked Yes | 30c | 34.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…65eabacked Yes | 74c | 29.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 23.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 80c | 19.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 77c | 14.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked No | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.