La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cd1222e67f988c990b6c1d5bf27e27fe2b7f689b6b90e3b279fb36de70cfa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,816$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.84 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 18c | 1,249$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.52 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 28c | 982.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.72 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 462.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.03 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 16c | 350.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.05 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 326.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 238.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 13c | 219.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 79c | 188.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 79c | 188.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 72c | 166.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 10c | 159.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 7c | 159.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 26c | 154.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 25c | 147.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 77c | 128.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 80c | 107.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 104.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 19c | 77.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Over | 27c | 58.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 21c | 53.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 34c | 43.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 72c | 41.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 40c | 34.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 33.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 65c | 32.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 73c | 24.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)Córdoba CF won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.