La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43dee21f498fd14ed256c9f58fdce1a5d79298aee9965a1b7dfa756c5d861da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,649$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 1,675$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.97 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 70c | 1,120$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 858.3$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.87 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 17c | 526$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 456.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.28 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 50c | 442.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 5c | 404$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 62c | 401.56$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 385.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 345.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 335.28$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 51c | 297.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 50c | 185.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 171.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 11c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 11c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 138.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 69.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 48c | 60.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 50c | 51.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 48c | 42.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 39.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 51c | 37.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 36.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 34.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 49c | 33.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 28.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)Córdoba CF won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.