South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545e6285d7419ef689765d4e6a7f0fbf21148fbb9b66c97e5eed2ebe01186edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 34c | 8,286$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 3,896$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 3,461$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.65 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed No | 68c | 1,617$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 78c | 1,110$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 1,109$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.91 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,033$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.36 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 1,003$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.02 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 997.01$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.54 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes | 12c | 947.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 73c | 816.56$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.26 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 69c | 771.91$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 68c | 667.93$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.19 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 609.1$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.64 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 27c | 468.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 26c | 451.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.04 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 32c | 323.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 68c | 312.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes | 31c | 301.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 24c | 299.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 226.63$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 174.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 31c | 111.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 33c | 107.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 76c | 107.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 99.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 20c | 98.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Yes | 33c | 97.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 90.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Yes | 31c | 90.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Yes | 32c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 31c | 75.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes | 33c | 72.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 71.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 71.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 79c | 71.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 79c | 71.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 31c | 69.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 68c | 66.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 65.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 78c | 63.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 79c | 61.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 55.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 31c | 47.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 69c | 46.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 78c | 37.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Yes | 32c | 37.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Yes | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 77c | 31.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 26.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 25.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 68c | 17.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…5e5bbacked No | 72c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 14.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 76c | 13.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.