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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x880d…adb6backed Yes38c357.24$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No50c196.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.444568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked No64c169.44$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No65c165.88$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0624766%163 W · 84 L+27.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes26c107.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.939956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c101.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes36c96.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6283642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c85.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.548,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c75.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.491,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c73.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.125,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.046943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c58.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No73c52.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.118743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No71c41.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.043658.3%21 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c38.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.093,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0591…fb4abacked Yes80c29.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.612263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No51c24.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8631355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9867…7d70backed No73c18.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c17.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No74c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.065549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.