TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Yes43c6,527$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c6,156$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.8313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes68c5,464$3,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.633080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c3,603$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.7947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0787…43d5backed Yes2c3,078$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.52763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,995$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9613551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c1,325$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.2143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c1,285$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes41c1,218$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3811055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No65c1,111$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.851464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No58c905.27$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.045558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Yes35c902.08$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c495.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c486.41$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9311057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No59c348.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.83063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes40c298.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes73c293$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked No70c286.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes35c234.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.852759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No39c215.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.095853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.311940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.313243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No64c207.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No59c196.34$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.744452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No57c190$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes47c172$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.013053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes66c165.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c160.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.214955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No34c155.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No31c154.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes32c139.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.075259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No38c134.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes41c134$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.943745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd305…a873backed Yes43c118.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No57c115.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes44c114.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Yes66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No40c106.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.831656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed No67c105.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked No66c102.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes41c90.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.645846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No15c89.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.046823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c85.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4932453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No45c82.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.662944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Yes71c79.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+65.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x876a…7e40backed Yes43c76.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes39c76.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.545846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Yes68c73.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes41c58.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x809f…b1c0backed Yes41c58.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No71c55.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Yes64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes38c52.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes41c48.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes41c47.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.652060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c47.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes41c47.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f59…21cbbacked No32c42.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+208.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceaa…e18ebacked No35c42.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+123.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes27c40.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6078…dbaebacked Yes66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes41c36.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.945246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes65c35.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4771…b432backed Yes41c35.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes62c32.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.864553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yes41c30.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No59c29.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes65c26.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No57c26.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Yes68c25.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed No60c24.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed No57c21.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes64c17.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.