Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ff8c557f2164c90a63f244fab1468a0816528f957e8ff9258ed2b39e2a9c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vancouver Whitecaps FCof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Colorado Rapids SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 54c | 499.95$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 52c | 301.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rapids SC | 44c | 289.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rapids SC | 48c | 280.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Colorado Rapids SC | 51c | 106.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 61c | 80.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 48c | 78.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 49c | 75.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rapids SC | 45c | 54.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 53.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 44c | 49.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…a14abacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 50c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Colorado Rapids SC | 44c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Colorado Rapids SC | 45c | 34.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 52c | 32.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 61c | 31.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Colorado Rapids SC | 45c | 29.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…5c12backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 60c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 52c | 25.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Colorado Rapids SC | 45c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Colorado Rapids SC | 50c | 22.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 58c | 17.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.