Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d66245902dc18e77b0411580f96ab94cbb3e50e3cc417d386148a6f7b8ea3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 3,838$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 61c | 3,246$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 57c | 1,880$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.35 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 1,301$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 746$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.48 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 639.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 500.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 449.78$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 387.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 28c | 345.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 55c | 339.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 335.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 39c | 321.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 261.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Under | 38c | 227.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 72c | 202.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 74c | 189.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 177.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 60c | 168.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 166.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 52c | 158$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 42c | 144.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 139.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 131.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 36c | 111.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 105.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 44c | 105.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 89.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 47c | 77.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Under | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 27c | 70.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 44c | 68.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 43c | 66.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 65.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 35c | 61.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 34c | 58.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 57.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 33c | 52.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 28c | 51.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 51c | 47.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 35.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 35.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 51c | 33.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 33.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 30.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 52c | 30.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed Under | 52c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 39c | 26.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 73c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 60c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…6697backed Under | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.