Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe96f68695cd02a848fb6ee64e7a8933acb2abbfbb5c7ed698aafc9ce2a173b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 4,025$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.94 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 3,668$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.99 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 69c | 1,642$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Over | 47c | 1,284$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,184$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.88 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.68 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…979fbacked Over | 48c | 964.76$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 47c | 825.92$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.67 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 807.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 755.2$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 526.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 514.66$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 80c | 471.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 434.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 420.23$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 47c | 350.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 348.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 280.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 272.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 263.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 4c | 262.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Under | 42c | 228.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 46c | 212.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under | 14c | 194.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Over | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 33c | 137.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 54c | 115.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 19c | 114.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 53c | 110.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 78c | 101.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 14c | 97.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 94.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 92.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 30c | 86.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 47c | 83.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 67.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 51c | 56.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 54.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 26c | 48.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 63c | 33.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 56c | 32.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 25.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 53c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 53c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 59c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…5c66backed Under | 52c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked Under | 55c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.