Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3341ef1be71a27f7d870c6f68482986d40c7b74a2ebafec0e575bf14e511d3b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 71c | 19,110$13,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.88 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 8,664$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.66 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 0c | 4,973$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.03 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 2,012$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.32 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 870.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 604.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 70c | 491$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Under | 21c | 263.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 30c | 249.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 80c | 246.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 239.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 9c | 219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 163$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 30c | 149$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed Under | 31c | 147.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 108.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 96.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 31c | 95.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed Over | 70c | 92.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 12c | 91.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 70c | 57.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed Over | 70c | 56.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 22c | 50.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 40.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 80c | 25.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Over | 70c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.