Other European Leagues · resolved market
St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eaad0b978cc69d49f5fda1ed6c1ceb1ebaa040c894fabe7130d04f7613a81c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,066 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,188$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 2,661$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Over | 74c | 2,224$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 54c | 1,844$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 947.31$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 49c | 578.56$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 21c | 472.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 48c | 391.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Under | 11c | 361.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 28c | 356.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 51c | 206.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 29c | 206.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 10cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…4befbacked Over | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 42c | 175.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…775fbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 76c | 98.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 78c | 90.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 90.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 88.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 50c | 82.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 81.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 42c | 50.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 75c | 46.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 46c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed Under | 39c | 38.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…dfaabacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Under | 49c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)St Mirren FC won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.