Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6f53a1a814e693b4eac5361329ea5f25f391d491d6dc35945cab05fc52f779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St Mirren FCof Rangers FC, St Mirren FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St Mirren FC | 67c | 947.56$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Rangers FC | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Rangers FC | 42c | 625.88$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Rangers FC | 38c | 385.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Rangers FC | 38c | 280.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked St Mirren FC | 57c | 275.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed St Mirren FC | 62c | 224.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed St Mirren FC | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St Mirren FC | 58c | 171.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed St Mirren FC | 62c | 134.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked St Mirren FC | 62c | 126.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed St Mirren FC | 62c | 125.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rangers FC | 40c | 122.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Rangers FC | 40c | 113.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Rangers FC | 23c | 94.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed St Mirren FC | 62c | 56.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed St Mirren FC | 59c | 51.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rangers FC | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rangers FC | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed St Mirren FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)this page
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.