Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345ee0a3f4fc59e1254a441b6692dc424b9041251050d2fe25b1214caa788875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 23c | 8,546$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 3,276$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 2,599$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.27 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 2,384$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.51 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,221$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 8c | 1,585$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 78c | 1,278$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes | 25c | 999.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 77c | 910.03$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 899.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…d267backed Yes | 24c | 743.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…0caabacked Yes | 23c | 641.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 577.91$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…bbe6backed Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Yes | 18c | 405.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 17c | 380.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 275.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 8c | 232.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 202.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 25c | 199.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 181$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 171$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 76c | 171$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 16c | 141.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 118.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…56dcbacked Yes | 18c | 115.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes | 23c | 106.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 105.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 25c | 104.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 23c | 98.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 75c | 98.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 26c | 96.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 22c | 76.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 74.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 74.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…62b0backed Yes | 14c | 74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 21c | 72.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 76c | 66.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes | 28c | 64.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 21c | 58.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 22c | 49.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 26c | 48.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 78c | 45.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed Yes | 26c | 43.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 73c | 32.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 72c | 26.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 75c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 75c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 77c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 75c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.