Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee08c08b02fa5f45a8e8b4384bd6f029616163c8a361320c155ee10ed51caed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 4,800$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 3,658$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 76c | 2,368$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 25c | 1,751$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.39 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,602$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 76c | 1,355$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 958.82$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 67c | 900$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked Yes | 37c | 861.81$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 37c | 857.96$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 604.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 32c | 600$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 61c | 594.03$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.25 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes | 34c | 576.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 20c | 542.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 25c | 540.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 27c | 500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Yes | 5c | 484.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 76c | 461$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…ad74backed Yes | 21c | 452.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 15c | 429.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 378.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Yes | 44c | 378$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 20c | 377.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 371.75$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 14c | 371.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 363.19$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 21c | 295$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 258.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes | 50c | 218.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 76c | 211.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 206.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 200.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 196.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 191.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 24c | 176.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 175$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 164.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 164.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 26c | 143.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 69c | 141.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…78dcbacked No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed No | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 76c | 131.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 80c | 125.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 23c | 122.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Yes | 46c | 117.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 22c | 112.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 74c | 112.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 71c | 109.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Yes | 22c | 106.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 19c | 99.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 22c | 89.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 73c | 89.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 27c | 87.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…ab7abacked Yes | 48c | 82.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 19c | 64.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 60.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 71c | 59.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 34c | 54.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 79c | 53.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 24c | 53.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 74c | 51.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 51.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 24c | 50.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 50.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 48.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 24c | 45.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 40.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…c611backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 28c | 39.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 33.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 50c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…a5f7backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 80c | 22.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 18.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.