Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c2c8dc0bb4ea0a549baceec5d0dda081c7c0fd84aaa703e2ce8a10d17ecbe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 49c | 104,999$51,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,549.71 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Yes | 51c | 76,804$39,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,012.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 50c | 64,417$32,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,372.09 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 36,647$17,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,745.99 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 51c | 18,922$9,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,562.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 51c | 12,375$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 10,250$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 8,388$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.41 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 8,383$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.63 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 49c | 8,140$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 51c | 8,055$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 50c | 7,732$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 7,699$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.64 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 6,663$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.85 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes | 50c | 5,869$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…d741backed Yes | 48c | 4,855$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 50c | 4,700$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 4,675$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.59 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…8606backed Yes | 51c | 4,554$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Yes | 50c | 3,920$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 3,742$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.19 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,486$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 2,321$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.79 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 49c | 1,813$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 1,682$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.75 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 1,612$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.35 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 1,490$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.37 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 51c | 1,374$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.32 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 42c | 1,369$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.37 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 47c | 1,302$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.94 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 936.3$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 51c | 929.41$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 48c | 764$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 52c | 747.95$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 41c | 714.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.73 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 52c | 598.85$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 591.53$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 12c | 567.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 46c | 542.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 12c | 501.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 492.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 55c | 448.52$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 52c | 407.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 51c | 390.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 71c | 386.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 31c | 370.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 52c | 344.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 30c | 319.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 302.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 57c | 301.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 260.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed No | 76c | 258.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 246$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 46c | 245.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 239.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 23c | 226$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 48c | 220.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 202.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 196$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed No | 73c | 187$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 54c | 184.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 53c | 180$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 57c | 148.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 145$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes | 47c | 140.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 63c | 139.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 15c | 139.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 36c | 132.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.