Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066b5c8120adc7fb24c96d5ff98bfa05f734042c7d23af41bb47eca3c312f358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 36c | 1,284$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked No | 15c | 1,000$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 974.05$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 767.28$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.82 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 54c | 659.24$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 483$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 28c | 481.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes | 26c | 460.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…caabbacked Yes | 28c | 340.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 70c | 291.67$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 255.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 80c | 239.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 196.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…5439backed Yes | 51c | 196.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 40c | 184$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 46c | 149.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 121.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 29c | 105.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +253.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 50c | 84.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 83.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 40c | 79.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 32c | 79.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Yes | 67c | 75.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 47c | 73.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Yes | 76c | 73.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 71.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 62c | 68.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 25c | 62.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 59.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes | 34c | 52.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 50.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Yes | 24c | 49.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 43c | 39.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…7703backed No | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 25.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f1…9d77backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.