Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e080eaf196816557303bb878ff3da842eeaf73f3a446138fd698ab010d876ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,896$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 1,781$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 29c | 1,698$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,482$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 62c | 1,183$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 898.64$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.71 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 54c | 757$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.23 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 38c | 661.07$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 37c | 542.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Yes | 58c | 517.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 36c | 467.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 458.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 71c | 445.39$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 73c | 390.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…81c2backed No | 65c | 387.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 28c | 328.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 29c | 310.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 276.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 38c | 272.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Yes | 25c | 259.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 31c | 258.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 31c | 253.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 236.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 32c | 222.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 32c | 216.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 74c | 203.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 185.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes | 66c | 178.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 172.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 60c | 167.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 156.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 153.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 29c | 148.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 29c | 145.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked No | 50c | 122.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…deb8backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 47c | 118$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 53c | 108$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 25c | 106.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 37c | 106.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 92.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 53c | 85.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 70.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 36c | 60.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 66c | 54.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 24c | 48.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 40.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Yes | 28c | 39.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 28c | 37.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 79c | 37.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 79c | 37.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed No | 79c | 37.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 54c | 35.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…2a7dbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 74c | 25.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 74c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 74c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 74c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 74c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.