Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413aaffae2dd2db68df3989ef0a722f4d1639321516d355767b2760a8d57a214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 8,140$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 3,896$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.5 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 3,408$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.91 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 1,902$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.23 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 996.34$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.79 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 930$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 928.38$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 316.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 298.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 180.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 123.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 103.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Indiana Hoosiers | 42c | 99.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 58c | 51.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Purdue Boilermakers | 58c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 48.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…9947backed Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 45.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 42.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 24.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…e25ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 53c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.