Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33e7fc6e273734562de75ce48031b11e53f76887c2dd364fcb972de2d4112628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 39,851$19,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,467.85 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 55c | 33,349$18,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,092.93 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 4,792$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.47 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 50c | 3,965$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.5 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 50c | 2,974$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.88 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 2,840$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.98 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.99 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 50c | 1,987$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.73 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,716$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 43c | 891.29$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.25 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 796.97$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 691.2$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 44c | 624.57$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 45c | 624.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 566.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 248$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 245.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 50c | 239.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Over | 51c | 232.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 44c | 202.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 51c | 193.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 50c | 119.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 51c | 103.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 45.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Over | 50c | 39.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.