Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87cfc6b46a90b7b4d4ae24cf7c4dc63eff78797cab9e098235469990323ccad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 6,540$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.33 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 3,715$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 1,905$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.39 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 1,519$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,507$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.71 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 921.9$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.07 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 549.06$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 521.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 391.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.77 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 213.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 203.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 199.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 198.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Indiana Hoosiers | 57c | 193.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 146.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 96.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 89.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 79.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…0521backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 31.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Indiana Hoosiers | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.