Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97aab4ab6820f1582aaf4ed006257c8c130624e84f49552214279ab9684a78f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Indiana Hoosiers, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 16,280$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.07 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Hoosiers | 1c | 12,489$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 6,071$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 3,689$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.26 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 11c | 3,249$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 2,331$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers | 12c | 1,662$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 1,590$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 13c | 1,068$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 10c | 735.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 726.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 575.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Indiana Hoosiers | 5c | 532.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 13c | 522.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 364.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 360$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 16c | 339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 306.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…1985backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 238$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 236.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 229.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 16c | 199.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Indiana Hoosiers | 10c | 165.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Indiana Hoosiers | 13c | 146.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Indiana Hoosiers | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 18c | 140.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…bf1fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 9c | 117$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eaa2backed Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 106.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Indiana Hoosiers | 11c | 96.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 12c | 87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 15c | 76.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Purdue Boilermakers | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Indiana Hoosiers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakersthis page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.