Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8048fd1ca5cf7c0c41740c56f463b9948b1470e58f829f828d64366856968f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,399$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 2,966$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.74 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 1,801$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 1,551$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 37c | 307.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 42c | 296.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 58c | 282$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 262.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 43c | 232.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 212.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 41c | 209.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 174.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 35c | 157.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Over | 43c | 151.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 41c | 121.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 54c | 120.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 42c | 118.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 57c | 112.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Under | 51c | 106.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 46c | 93.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 25c | 88.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 76.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 69c | 68.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 42c | 59.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Under | 57c | 52.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Under | 57c | 51.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 58c | 51.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Under | 57c | 47.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 43c | 46.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 40.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 36c | 36.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 36.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 55c | 29.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 42c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 60c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 58c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.