Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf8ad4c523a26d4ba4899fa5bf33f0ee510b62d8e984e63b8498a48833f17f1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,857 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	8,775$4,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,176.31	988	44.4%439 W · 549 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	61c	6,241$3,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,454.22	226	52.7%119 W · 107 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	39c	5,500$2,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,134.91	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over	35c	3,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	49c	2,939$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.51	147	55.1%81 W · 66 L	+8.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	65c	2,768$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	66cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b9d…bdc0backed Over	48c	2,067$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	45c	1,321$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.78	349	37.8%132 W · 217 L	-13.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	36c	1,250$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.71	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over	48c	1,158$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.72	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	1,094$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.37	478	50.8%243 W · 235 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	57c	750$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.85	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Under	54c	740.73$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over	47c	615.18$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.13	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	65c	614.92$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.7	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under	42c	602$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.16	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over	40c	540$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	48c	521.35$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	51c	520.59$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.5	120	55%66 W · 54 L	+12.6wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under	49c	510.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.2	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	36c	500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over	48c	489.58$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.39	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	48c	469.41$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.93	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	50c	383$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.5	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	51c	347.64$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.96	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Over	47c	258.05$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over	42c	242.55$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.13	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under	55c	241.2$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.54	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under	62c	237$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.06	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+6.2wins	+0.35per pick	49cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	48c	224.42$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.78	198	49%97 W · 101 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	62c	208.84$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.36	309	54.7%169 W · 140 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	53c	199.98$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.99	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	52c	191.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	177.62$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.1	334	44%147 W · 187 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under	54c	172.43$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.48	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Over	51c	166.67$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…74c6backed Under	61c	162.57$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over	50c	159.62$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	32c	152.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over	60c	145.55$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.21	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.3wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	56c	142.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	141.4$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.87	235	51.5%121 W · 114 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over	48c	140$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d6…4c63backed Under	51c	128.39$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+6.7wins	+0.24per pick	55cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	40c	111.69$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under	50c	109.7$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.85	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	49c	103.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.18	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over	60c	101.83$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Under	53c	97.7$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…3e44backed Under	53c	96.64$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	48c	91.71$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	35c	90.54$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over	50c	87.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over	47c	87$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.89	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	39c	82.05$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Under	44c	78.97$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.97	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	41c	76.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	48c	75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under	56c	64.02$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Under	53c	63.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.94	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	39c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	40c	56.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+10.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Under	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Under	43c	56.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a60…6e83backed Under	43c	55.63$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	53c	55.55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under	50c	55.48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.74	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	46c	46.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682e…ab5bbacked Over	42c	45.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…a251backed Over	49c	45.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Over	52c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Under	38c	43.74$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9317…6e69backed Over	49c	42.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-71%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	39c	41.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Under	50c	41.19$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Over	49c	41.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Under	53c	40.28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.84	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	39c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Over	44c	39.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	37c	39.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fee…1502backed Under	79c	39.16$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	51c	39.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…51acbacked Under	79c	37.61$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.9	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	62cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event