Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d6c66ebc24f38c8ce9683917ab5ecdb0b9d8e374afdabd28f895ca423faa29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 2,706$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,131$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.43 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 68c | 1,353$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 1,297$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.14 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 66c | 888$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 32c | 640.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 66c | 621.25$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 584.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 67c | 556.77$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 468.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 393.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 66c | 390.85$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed No | 33c | 388.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 66c | 380.3$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 59c | 320.06$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 65c | 251.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 65c | 154.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Yes | 67c | 132.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 69c | 130.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Yes | 67c | 128.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Yes | 67c | 126.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 64c | 126.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 107.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Yes | 66c | 106.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 89.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 66c | 88.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 62c | 87.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 68c | 73.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 36c | 70.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 66c | 69.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 37c | 66.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 36c | 59.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked No | 34c | 56.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 53.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 34c | 52.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 36c | 45.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 37c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…f08bbacked No | 36c | 39.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 39c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 68c | 30.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 36c | 28.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Yes | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…7cb6backed Yes | 68c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.