Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced5b5cab71f45aecb6953ee4f1a19643f0231322ffae15b48ed4449c7c630e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 16,415$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,676.96 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 42c | 5,738$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.14 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 73c | 5,000$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 31c | 3,909$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.31 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 59c | 3,300$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 70c | 3,211$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.7 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 2,995$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.13 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 39c | 1,480$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 50c | 1,399$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.97 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.97 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 1,298$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 31c | 1,010$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.65 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 934.4$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.17 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 62c | 922.54$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 31c | 910.6$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.71 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 72c | 837.8$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 72c | 697.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 73c | 690.43$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 682.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.66 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 27c | 578.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.44 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 52c | 546.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +280%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 30c | 457.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 456.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 31c | 436.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 70c | 429.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 421.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 53c | 378.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 31c | 354.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Under | 29c | 337.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 312.82$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 258.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 220$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Over | 71c | 217.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 215$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 26c | 188$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 29c | 179.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 35c | 172.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Under | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 66c | 166.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 16c | 157.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 156.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 56c | 149.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Over | 64c | 148.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 141.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 74c | 135.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 27c | 125.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 37c | 121.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 27c | 118.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 43c | 114.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…2dbcbacked Over | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 26c | 103.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 31c | 100.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 94.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Over | 71c | 87.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Over | 71c | 87.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Under | 49c | 86.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under | 50c | 84.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Over | 71c | 82.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Over | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Under | 46c | 77.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Over | 69c | 70.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 31c | 67.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Under | 30c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 30c | 62.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 57.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 30c | 54.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906c…bc9bbacked Under | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 50.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 52c | 50.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.