South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a86c49f12fd57afcb8074ba84516e4d394ba16bc4816a56736e7ff6f0c93532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,505$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 46c | 1,493$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,146$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Over | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.95 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 34c | 592.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.65 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 75c | 277.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 36c | 228.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 220.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 166.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 131.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 97.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 25c | 73.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 25c | 69.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 25c | 68.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Under | 25c | 66.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 60c | 40.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5this page
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.