South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38126634b7cb77d837addd858cd4a95a05c643475a31e5fb32bda0b6892ffff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 10,923$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.84 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 9,701$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 51c | 3,189$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,819$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.38 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 1,702$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.93 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,508$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 14c | 1,426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…a3b1backed Over | 17c | 909.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 51c | 855.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 747.36$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 49c | 647.27$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 520.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 397.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 108.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 76.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 42.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 44c | 38.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…3b60backed Under | 52c | 36.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…986dbacked Over | 49c | 36.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…973fbacked Under | 52c | 35.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 46c | 34.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…5ae6backed Over | 49c | 32.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82df…2265backed Under | 52c | 31.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…daf5backed Under | 51c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…f847backed Over | 50c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…dd29backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 39c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 50c | 27.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…bcd5backed Over | 50c | 24.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…2641backed Over | 50c | 24.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…75b1backed Under | 51c | 23.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…884cbacked Over | 50c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5this page
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.