WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04045dc3b979a5bd3826af426b90b4b3303109b3d6c5189a0a7c7d80a1e485c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 13,928$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 5,093$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.34 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 5,089$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.9 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Over | 48c | 4,995$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 2,932$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.31 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 2,242$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 50c | 2,124$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Under | 6c | 1,681$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 1,654$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.3 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.07 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 979.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 908.75$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.09 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 61c | 850.72$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 48c | 747.23$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.56 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 50c | 566.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.84 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 563.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.05 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 52c | 494.66$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 493.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 56c | 470.67$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 459.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 55c | 361.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 49c | 343.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 65c | 285.65$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 281.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 47c | 242.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Under | 62c | 241.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 66c | 226.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 53c | 214$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 66c | 181.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Over | 53c | 161.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 54c | 130.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 36c | 100.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 51c | 98.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 65c | 86.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 47c | 72.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 47c | 62.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 30c | 58.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Under | 47c | 55.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Under | 47c | 53.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Under | 47c | 51.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 50.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 48c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked Under | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 50c | 34.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 48c | 31.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 46c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…8967backed Over | 50c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 43c | 27.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 55c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 62c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 62c | 21.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.