WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9a7206525743d30f06de13e56d6a190e1cb441647a8e31ec6bfe2582c32df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.89 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 9,631$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,883$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,839$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.89 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 66c | 1,672$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.45 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 1,113$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 871.01$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.67 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 816.44$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.08 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 799.91$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.96 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 465.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 296$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 281.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 203.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 196.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 193.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 106.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 65.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 54.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 41.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 40.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 31.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 31.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 31.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 25.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.