WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb528512ff1bdbc80fa071a2b1ca4dee814af6bb4eec363fe9de7e8f2efcdaca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 4,390$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.12 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 3,581$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 2,853$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.97 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 2,366$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Over | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 1,164$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.6 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 57c | 969.08$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 827.76$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.65 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 514.08$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.91 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 39c | 446.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 313.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 53c | 243.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 236.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 65c | 215.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 62c | 160.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 61c | 83.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 56c | 65.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 45.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…6131backed Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 56c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 61c | 23.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…a411backed Over | 62c | 23.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…7f78backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d48fbacked Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1e4dbacked Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 58c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 69c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5this page
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.