WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb6db87bd9a309c861fc72d09dfda68491ef5d0f788f550c0245e294a67e8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,033$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.26 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,559$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,334$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.59 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 1c | 1,179$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 728.79$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Over | 6c | 531.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 60c | 453$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 405.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 54c | 373.79$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 254.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 55c | 80.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 54c | 28.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 58c | 23.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 55c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…d4b3backed Over | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Over | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 59c | 20.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5this page
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.