South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ffc1796f1923902acf2583c1df6f614e9989eb6294cb197773da0b3b2d91cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 760.13$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 55c | 365.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 310.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed No | 48c | 303.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 47c | 298.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Yes | 52c | 155.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Yes | 52c | 147.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Yes | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 50c | 50.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 52c | 33.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 27.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.