South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361bcf7ef32a6ef5145d1da2a14f56b466bb0a375a99b261c3d6113cf19b7c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,507 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.94 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 54c | 4,168$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.86 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 3,709$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,558$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 3,198$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.66 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 2,939$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 2,540$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,928$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.37 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 41c | 1,231$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.91 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,074$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.72 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Under | 12c | 829.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 45c | 714$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.91 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 4c | 461.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Over | 76c | 298.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 54c | 255.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 159.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 54c | 156.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 122.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 48c | 102.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 56c | 94.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 79c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 58c | 52.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 61c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 49c | 37.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 49c | 37.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 57c | 22.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 53c | 19.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 76c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.