South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Guaraní win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92676210c40e2dba77b6d40a39a7596072a6158c54845e9e8fd2f145f4781341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 4,361$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 11c | 2,272$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 35c | 1,710$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 755.05$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…7eecbacked Yes | 34c | 508.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked No | 79c | 446.86$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 37c | 410.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 31c | 320.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 257.55$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 256.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 168.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 39c | 153.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 30c | 122.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 110.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 79c | 109.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b9…7575backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Yes | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 29c | 66.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked No | 78c | 58.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 29c | 54.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 20c | 49.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 40.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 66c | 32.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Guaraní win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will CA Juventud vs. Club Guaraní end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.