Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10708c2662c5bcc9f5365b92794da90e8f34d39e7db703cd74b71a7b1849d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 56c | 65,132$36,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,463.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 22,192$10,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,302.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 17,525$7,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,814.33 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 13,542$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 7,823$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 7,082$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.76 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 44c | 6,921$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.51 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 44c | 5,481$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.03 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 57c | 4,934$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.29 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 53c | 3,866$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.7 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 2,071$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.8 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 2,050$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.5 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.48 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,750$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.83 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 44c | 1,569$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 45c | 1,023$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 962$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.46 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 919.64$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 55c | 706.8$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 44c | 656.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.91 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 605$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 19c | 548.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 44c | 534.09$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.09 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked No | 44c | 499.34$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 44c | 499$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 289.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 44c | 270.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 41c | 241.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 234.32$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 26c | 220.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 21c | 188.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 56c | 187.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 173.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 29c | 172.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes | 20c | 154.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 57c | 149.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 121.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 20c | 89.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 56c | 89.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…d67fbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 21c | 69.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 57c | 61.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 57.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 44c | 51.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 44c | 51.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Yes | 58c | 46.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…b195backed No | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 57c | 43.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…6916backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 44c | 28.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 44c | 24.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 70c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.