Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07c32d9cd6b7234f3238e44326493cf7c83b74413990dbc98f27e0ab3e34cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 43c | 4,422$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 57c | 2,705$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 2cpaid | +1,048.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 43c | 1,379$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.77 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 722.59$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.42 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 42c | 590.51$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…e61cbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…d9bebacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 4c | 479.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 43c | 453.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 30c | 450$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Yes | 44c | 420.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +380%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +275%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 9cpaid | +454.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 43c | 230.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 113.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 43c | 109.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 37c | 95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked No | 64c | 74.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 54.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 49.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…3b3ebacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 42.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 33c | 39.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 39.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 48c | 37.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 45c | 31.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 65c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.