South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ba496ac6d1d3ed2302e40b3b72152a47eb1df170b56eaa436d749f1c049c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,309 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 8,145$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.19 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,158$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.65 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 880$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 58c | 758.62$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 28c | 608.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 262.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 58c | 150.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 44c | 145.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Over | 44c | 114.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 94.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 84.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 65c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Under | 60c | 72.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 69.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 60.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 50c | 54.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 53.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 44c | 52.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Over | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Over | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 38c | 45.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 75c | 44.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 43c | 41.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 58c | 38.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Over | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 32c | 35.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 57c | 35.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 62c | 32.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 31.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 43c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 29.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 57c | 28.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 44c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 43c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 26.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…329abacked Over | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…12e5backed Under | 57c | 23.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…804abacked Under | 58c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 18.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.