TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c11,995$8,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.446,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c1e…238cbacked Yes25c4,321$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.13425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c3,659$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.712,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes42c3,551$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.6728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes41c3,400$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.9617042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes30c1,969$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes7c1,865$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c1,418$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.671,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c1,368$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.012,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No57c1,305$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c1,238$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.71,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes31c1,161$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.225623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x723c…30d3backed Yes1c1,141$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Yes43c946.67$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.256553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c903.74$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.014,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c750.72$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.822,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c683$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.861,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes33c666.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes37c660$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c638.77$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No63c632.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.577833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No78c547.86$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0545142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c540.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.21,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes23c539.03$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.78626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x387c…f8d4backed Yes39c533.85$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c498.2$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.341,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No78c494.75$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.844468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+111.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c446$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No58c375.86$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.864163.4%26 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes42c319.62$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.587742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12625544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Yes43c230.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.011353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes38c223.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9427227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c213.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes10c209.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes34c187$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0110051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.819145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c167.07$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.421,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes43c157.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.716144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No67c157.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9874156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes31c153.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes32c146.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.096137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508845.5%40 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6b…7178backed Yes24c124.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes42c119.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.89541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3986…971fbacked No62c116.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No59c115$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.74037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes37c104.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No59c101$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4113163.4%83 W · 48 L+15.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes41c99.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9820840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes24c98.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes20c95.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.182128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No59c86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2621049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes38c84.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes38c84.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214844.6%66 W · 82 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes40c79.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5622834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes42c61.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2637840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes40c60.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.494231%13 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes41c54.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c51.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.681,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes30c49.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No67c45.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8420758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c42.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2651516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf257…ef33backed Yes41c40.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7734…5ea2backed Yes41c39.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes28c39.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No59c37.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf0b…3f2dbacked Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No72c29.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.