Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062722a612c051392a3708845b341e55e64c9e49ec64724e655771d54a54cd1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 1,951$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 753.58$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 713.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 645.2$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 57c | 348.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 293.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed No | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 22c | 231.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 231.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 223.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 197.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 17c | 110.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 16c | 90.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 71c | 70.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked Yes | 32c | 54.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 51.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ef33backed Yes | 29c | 40.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 38.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 36.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 60c | 24.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 72c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.