South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbee7c19da092ffdc582fee68f4a891961da7f390d0b6356b585ffec7409c6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,663$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 2,225$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.71 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 1,730$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.2 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 695.8$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 56c | 498.07$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 39c | 449.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 413.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 253.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 58c | 217.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 199.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 39c | 129.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 92.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 49c | 87.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…ef50backed Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 74.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 56c | 71.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 70.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed Under | 47c | 46.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 57c | 42.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 54c | 39.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 39.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…375dbacked Over | 42c | 35.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…821cbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Under | 58c | 29.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 44c | 27.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1404…fdaabacked Under | 41c | 26.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…f42fbacked Under | 59c | 26.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…b1fcbacked Under | 57c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…d2bdbacked Under | 59c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 55c | 23.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Over | 55c | 22.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.