South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea0d4c01e0003cdef0d40351bfe502217365da16200fcd06bbbd528d21ee3c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,335 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 2,716$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 44c | 2,699$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 50c | 1,097$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 633.62$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 47c | 607$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 453.57$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 50c | 401.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 235.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 212.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 51c | 197.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 183.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 54c | 173.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 45c | 166.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed No | 55c | 85.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 53c | 70.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 50c | 61.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 56c | 43.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 41.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 27.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Yes | 51c | 24.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.