South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d97b276f97ff884e39180ec8da64e92207e0c265f8f3c46fefbd3a39e186f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,154 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 73c | 2,708$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.57 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 29c | 861.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 820.78$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 453.46$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 281.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 30c | 260.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 72c | 158.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 155.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 153.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 32c | 120.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 37c | 76.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Under | 27c | 59.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 45.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 73c | 35.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 69c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 68c | 19.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 69c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.