Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a89902cfd97a3eba274bac61185c1112aee59e292e7b27d5606a1802356402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 41c | 22,150$9,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,075 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 8,262$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 7,471$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.31 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 5,927$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 1,380$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 51c | 947.65$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 768.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.62 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 703.27$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.14 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 290.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 46c | 197.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 171.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 35c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 42c | 140.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 54c | 139.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 34c | 136.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 134.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 107.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 28c | 90.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 85.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 64c | 77.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 63c | 73.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Over | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 39c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 49c | 35.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…ce52backed Over | 55c | 32.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 74c | 31.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 31.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Under | 54c | 24.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…fb59backed Over | 50c | 22.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.