Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c9f2ac0ccc1eb67de35249e042cd2c698e9e372efe6e777e7adbe28b31c165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 52c | 16,783$8,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,645.62 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 12,844$6,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,430$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.35 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 2,377$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.34 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,389$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 620$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.33 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 433.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 50c | 401.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 66c | 244.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 7c | 240$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 48c | 208.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 203$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 23c | 186.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 181.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 22c | 103.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed No | 59c | 102.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 51c | 94.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed No | 49c | 94.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…4794backed No | 69c | 87.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 50c | 59.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 47c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 50c | 44.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 61c | 34.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 47c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 50c | 28.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…7e2bbacked Yes | 50c | 27.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed No | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.