TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes40c11,968$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,756.865543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c7,822$4,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.252,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c5,570$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.537,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c2,193$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.575,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes40c1,749$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010259.8%61 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes34c1,741$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c1,294$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.322,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes30c1,249$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7212426.6%33 W · 91 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No59c1,189$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.352653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No66c807.19$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.816456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c676.91$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9936647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes39c630.47$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.888845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No59c569.78$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6154650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No60c558.7$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.481,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No61c555.13$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.543546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes10c541.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1994043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes3c533.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8938747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19512054.2%65 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc738…25a4backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes4c450.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410617.9%19 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes9c244.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225223.1%12 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c153.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.798552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed No69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No61c135$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6514257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c124$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9786960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8510756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No60c112$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes12c107.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0998653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes39c103.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes25c99.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8264143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.110156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No61c81.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.952661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes38c81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7851140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No60c70.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.139160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes35c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510539%41 W · 64 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.161,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c47.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0966047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No62c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4829742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed No59c44.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.212157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c43.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2937641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes38c42.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.258320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No61c42.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6534158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No62c40.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.484847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes40c32.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8570%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c30.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45865.5%38 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125463%34 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45058%29 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes38c28.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104669.6%32 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No58c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1111553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No60c17.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0313258.3%77 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812456.5%70 W · 54 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.