Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. High Point Panthers: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072a7ce14281b657793ab5ba60d2172d5740619a6b35dddc8892301ff07f3040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 1,239$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.3 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 1,229$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 51c | 708.49$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Under | 57c | 540.49$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 521.62$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 394.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 20c | 170.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Under | 64c | 130.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 47c | 101.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 46c | 97.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 38.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 31.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 58c | 25.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. High Point Panthers: O/U 158.5this page
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. High Point PanthersHigh Point Panthers won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. High Point Panthers: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: High Point Panthers (-25.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
- Spread: High Point Panthers (-26.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.